Vegas Over/Under: 30.5
The Record Projection: 28-54 of fromal The Bet: Under with confidence that is marginal Rinse and repeat.
In 2013-14, the New York Knicks’ 37-45 record could not quite fit their over/under of 49.5. Back in 2014-15, they came 23.5 games short of attaining their over/under of 40.5. In 2015-16, they’d their over/under place at 31.5 and won 32 games. In 2016-17, their 31-51 record fell well shy of the 38.5 over/under.
Every year, Vegas provides a realistic expectation, listens because the public works itself into a frenzy about the diminished expectations for a major-market team and then (probably) collectively yells as its prediction either ends accurate or too optimistic.
The last time New York exceeded the projection by more than a single game was 2012-13, along with the roster was quite a bit different. So if this year break the mould?
Yes, Kristaps Porzingis is gifted. Yes, Tim Hardaway Jr. could inject more offensive firepower to the lineup. Yes, Madison Square Garden will most likely be full of cheering fans, even though a few (many?) Of them will be rooting on the opposition.
However, Carmelo Anthony remains on the roster, and there is no end in sight into the never-ending will-they-won’t-they exchange saga. Ramon Sessions, Frank Ntilikina and Ron Baker comprise the rotation. Convincing thickness exists at zero places.
Please. Don’t bet on the Knicks to win more than 30 games.