Vegas Over/Under: 30.5
Fromal’s Record Projection: 28-54 The Bet: Under with confidence that is marginal Rinse and repeat.
In 2013-14, the New York Knicks’ 37-45 record couldn’t quite fit their over/under of 49.5. In 2014-15, they came 23.5 games short of attaining their over/under of 40.5. In 2015-16, they’d their over/under place at 31.5 and won 32 games. In 2016-17, their 31-51 album fell well shy of this 38.5 over/under.
Each year, Vegas provides a realistic expectation, listens because the public works itself into a frenzy about the diminished expectations for a major-market team and then (probably) collectively yells as its forecast either turns out true or overly optimistic.
The last time New York exceeded the projection by more than one match was 2012-13, and the roster was a bit different. So should this year break the mould?
Yes, Kristaps Porzingis is talented. Yes, Tim Hardaway Jr. could inject more offensive firepower to the lineup. Yes, Madison Square Garden will probably be filled with cheering fans, even if a few (many?) Of these will probably be rooting on the resistance.
But Carmelo Anthony is still on the roster, and there’s no end in sight into the never-ending will-they-won’t-they exchange saga. Ron Baker, Frank Ntilikina and ramon Sessions comprise the point-guard spinning. Convincing depth exists at zero places.
Please. Don’t bet on the Knicks to acquire over 30 games.