Vegas Over/Under: 30.5
Fromal’s Record Projection: 28-54 The Bet: Under with confidence that is marginal Rinse and repeat.
In 2013-14, the New York Knicks’ 37-45 record couldn’t quite fit their over/under of 49.5. Back in 2014-15, they arrived 23.5 games short of attaining their over/under of 40.5. In 2015-16, they had their over/under place at 31.5 and won 32 games. In 2016-17, their 31-51 record fell well shy of the 38.5 over/under.
Every year, Vegas provides a realistic expectation, listens as the public works itself into a frenzy about the diminished expectations for a major-market staff and then (probably) collectively yells as its prediction either ends true or too optimistic.
The last time New York exceeded the projection by more than one game was 2012-13, along with the roster was a little different. So if this season break the mould?
Yes, Kristaps Porzingis is gifted. Yes, Tim Hardaway Jr. could inject more offensive firepower into the lineup. Yes, Madison Square Garden will most likely be filled with cheering fans, even though some (many?) Of these will be rooting on the resistance.
But Carmelo Anthony remains on the roster, and there’s no end in sight into the endless will-they-won’t-they trade saga. Ron Baker, Frank Ntilikina and ramon Sessions include the rotation. Convincing depth exists at zero places.
Please. Don’t bet on the Knicks to win more than 30 games.