Canada vs Europe Game 1: Where’s the Value?


Team Canada and Team Europe would be the final teams standing in the World Cup of Hockey as they now get set to face off at a best-of-three series to ascertain who will wear the crown until the NHL decides the next tournament will be held.
Canada conquer Europe 4-1 if they met in round-robin play, dealing Europe its only loss.
The total has gone OVER 6 in only one of Canada and Europe’s 8 games that were different.
Canada has scored 4.75 goals per game at the WCH while Europe has scored 2.5 per match.
Canada is coming off a win against the Russians in the semifinals in a match where they outshot their opponents 47-34. The group that has led the game in shots is 8-6 so much in this tournament but if you remove the Americans’ information from this metric, it goes to 8-3 — that the U.S. outshot their opponents in every game but went 0-3, skewing the information. Canada outshot Europe by 26 when they met much of this responsibility will fall on the shoulders of Jaroslav Halak, presuming he gets the start in net for Europe.
Team Europe has proved pretty much everyone wrong at this championship so far and has a chance to pay off people who backed them from the beginning as they once had +3300 odds to take gold and have been even +1000 heading to the semis. As I’ve stated all along, a goalie who gets hot can win a hockey game. Europe is supplying +575 moneyline odds for Game 1 and with the way Halak has been enjoying, I have a hard time not shooting BetOnline up on that.
Canada comes back since the -1000 favorites at the first of three matches and, yes, they will win. I really do expect the Europeans to compete, however, and I’d only take Canada -1 or -1.5. The moneyline is offering no value whatsoever and the spread at 2.5 is a bit too broad for me. I believe this match finishes 3-1 in favour of Team Canada therefore Europe +2.5 makes a lot of sense to me.

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